Why forecasting fails (but we still need it)

Endless complexity Although never particularly good at it, I was transfixed by playing chess at junior school, a strategic game of potentially infinite complexity and intrigue. Although the starting position is always the same and there are only 20 possible positions after the first white piece is moved (16 pawn… full article

A new mantra for 2018

Resolution for a new year The year is the best part of a week old and I haven't written one of those "2017 in review" pieces, or for that matter a "what to expect in 2018", at least partly because I wanted to see what everyone else is saying. One… full article